Matt Ferchen

China-Latin America

This page lists and links my research on China-Latin America. For research and opinion specifically about China-Venezuela, click here.

Peer-Reviewed Academic Publications

China–Latin America Relations: Long-term Boon or Short-term Boom?“, The Chinese Journal of International Politics (CJIP), January 28, 2011

China’s domestic development drive has prompted it to develop trade relations with Latin America. While generating positive economic results for both sides in the short-term, the threat of Latin America once again falling into a pattern of export dependency—this time with China—looms large.

Academic Publications in Progress

“Political Risk Analysis with Chinese Characteristics: The Curious Case of Venezuela” For submission to Studies in Comparative International Development (SCID)

Policy Analysis and Opinion

2015

Chinese Diplomacy in Latin America and Africa: Not Two Sides of the Same Coin” Phoenix Weekly, March 27 2015 (Chinese version)

Despite slowing Chinese demand for commodities, countries in Latin America and Africa can still benefit from closer economic ties with China.

China and Latin America: Challenges in Pursuing Prospects” Phoenix Weekly, February 5 2015 (Chinese version)

Commodity price drops and the U.S. diplomatic breakthrough with Cuba are affecting China’s relations with Latin American countries.

China and the Price of OilThe New York Times, February 4 2015 (Chinese version)

Lower oil prices will affect China’s relations with countries such as Iran and Russia, while also hindering China’s renewable energy development by encouraging consumption of low-cost fossil fuels.

China, Latin America, and the End of the Commodity BoomEL PAÍS, January 9 2015 (Chinese version)

Dropping commodity prices will benefit China and create challenges for Latin American countries, yet this trend also opens the possibility of a more sustainable economic relationship.

2014

Opportunity for Beijing and Washington in Venezuela’s Oil Crisis” The Diplomat, December 11 2014 (Chinese version)

China and the United States could join forces for a more sustainable oil policy in Venezuela.

Railway Dispute Shows Weaknesses of China-Mexico Economic Ties” World Politics Review, November 17 2014 (Chinese version)

Mexico City’s cancellation of a rail contract with Beijing underscores why Chinese government and commercial actors must demonstrate a sophisticated grasp of Mexican political and regulatory realities.

Crude Complications: Venezuela, China, and the United StatesCarnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, October 23 2014 (Chinese version)

China and the United States see things differently when it comes to Caracas. But they should work together to lessen the climate impact of the oil they import from Venezuela.

Comparing China’s and Japan’s Latin American Policy” Caixin, August 6 2014 (Chinese version)

Given the high tensions between Japan and China lately, the timing of Abe’s trip to Latin America is undoubtedly meant in some sense as a symbolic response to Xi Jinping’s recent trip.

China-Latin America Relations: Creative Engagement Versus Non-Intervention” Caijing, July 16 2014 (Chinese version)

From a Latin American perspective, the focus of the next decade of relations with China will be on how to create even deeper, but more balanced and sustainable, forms of trade, investment, and diplomatic ties.

China’s Shaky Latin American Liabilities” National Interest, July 14 2014 (Chinese version)

Xi Jinping is likely to announce new multibillion deals at the upcoming BRICS summit—deals that amount to a doubling down on an already risky Chinese bet.

2013

China and Venezuela: Equity Oil and Political RiskChina Brief, Volume 13, Issue 3, February 1 2013

China’s quest for natural resources is pushing it into close relationships with questionable regimes around the world.

China’s Risk Analysis in Latin AmericaCarnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, Q&A, January 11 2013 (Chinese version)

China’s increasing commercial and diplomatic ties with Latin America are fraught with political and economic risk and changes in China’s growth model could alter the China-Latin America dynamic further—with important repercussions for China’s presence in the region.

2012

China’s Misguided Hugo Chávez Love AffairThe Diplomat, November 30 2012

China’s relationship with Venezuela may rely on the health of President Chávez, which could prove a risky strategy if China wishes to maintain a long-term, sustainable presence in that country.

Informality in China and Latin America: Comparisons and InteractionsSetting the Agenda: Asia and Latin America in the 21st Century, edited by Ariel C. Armony, University of Miami, Center for Latin American Studies, October 2012: 67-72.

The similarities and differences in the roles played by the state, society, and economy in China and Latin America both hinder and enhance relations between these two trading partners.

“The China Model in Transition: Domestic and International Implications” Javeriana University, “China and Latin America: Strategic Partners in a Multipolar World?,” September 3 2012

China’s Latin American InterestsCarnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, Q&A, April 6 2012

Beijing faces a real challenge in determining how to put both the economic and political China-Latin America relationship on more sustainable, longer-term footing.

China-Latin American Relations: The End of the Honeymoon?China Brief (AmCham China), Volume 20, Number 1, January/February 2012: 11-12.

An increasing trade deficit with China, coupled with Chinese purchases of large tracts of Latin American farmland, could cause strain between China and Latin American nations.

2011

Export Dependence: If China Stops, Then What?” (with Alicia Garcia-Herrero) China Economic Quarterly, Volume 15, Issue 3, September 2011: 33-37

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